NFL Betting Trends Week 3: Ravens, Chiefs, Lions Draw Early Wagering Action

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Early NFL Week 3 betting trends see the Lions-Vikings line move in the direction of Amon-Ra St. Brown and the road underdog (AP Photo/Lon Horwedel)

Hit the Road, Jack.

The famous Ray Charles song applies to early NFL Week 3 betting at DraftKings, with an astounding six road favorites gaining overwhelming support from the betting public.

Four of these chalks received initial handle above 90%, and two reflect public indifference to what had been classic “push” territory, the “3” and “7” betting spread.

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs topped the early voting at 93%, despite being on these key numbers. Baltimore opened -3 against the host New England Patriots, and Kansas City was -7 against the host Indianapolis Colts. (The line moved to Kansas City -6.5 on Tuesday night, despite the lopsided action at DraftKings).

Through the first two weeks of the season, six games have ended with a three-point difference, and only one finished at seven.
Increased use of the two-point conversion has already eased betting concerns on “7”, and even the “3” number can be absorbed by bettors who want to buy half a point on either side for a few basis points (in Thursday’s Week 3 opener, the Cleveland Browns were -4.5 against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Tuesday afternoon. Moving the Browns to -4 was -122, not expensive from an original -110).
That strategy can also be used as a link to anchor multi-legged parlays.

Bet NFL at DraftKings: Bet $5 on NFL or College Football, Get $200 Instantly

NFL Bettors’ Recency Bias …

Monday Night Magic propelled the next two teams, the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles, near the top of public betting support.

The Bills garnered 92% of the early money at -5.5 as they visit the Miami Dolphins in a battle of stellar 2-0 teams. Bettors have apparently figured Buffalo’s 41-7 prime-time massacre of the Tennessee Titans into the equation. The Bills have outscored their first two opponents, 72-17.

The Philadelphia Eagles, who squelched the Minnesota Vikings 24-7 on Monday night, take a 2-0 record and 92% betting support into their matchup against the Washington Commanders at -6.5.

… But Also Retaining Faith

Bettors are still backing the Cincinnati Bengals, who have labored to an 0-2 start as defending AFC champs. For the first time this season, they are giving less than a touchdown. At -5 against the host New York Jets, they earned 89% of the early action.

Contrarians who think the Bengals are heading for a down year have been feasting by going against them. Cincy is 0-2 vs the number and the moneyline.

The San Francisco 49ers, who showed good defensive prowess in a 27-7 triumph over the Seattle Seahawks in Week 2, had 88% of the early money at -1.5 against the Denver Broncos.

Also read: Odds for an NFL Team to go Undefeated

Lions Building Bankrolls

On the plus-points side, bettors are in love with the Detroit Lions, who are +6 at the Minnesota Vikings.

The Lions have become a cash register for gamblers on the spread and the Over. Detroit is 2-0 on both, easily. The Lions were 11-6 ATS last season.

This team could be an early-season gold mine for gamblers. In two home games, they were +5.5 against the Philadelphia Eagles and only -2.5 against the Washington Commanders.

They have easily rewarded the Over, with point totals of 73 and 63. The Lions are reminiscent of the Bengals from last season: most betting lines look favorable to their backers.

The Lions also have an electrifying young player in Amon-Ra St. Brown. He notched two more touchdowns last week in Detroit’s 36-27 triumph over the Washington Commanders.

St. Brown became the first player in NFL history to have six straight regular-season games with at least eight receptions and a touchdown, according to the league. The streak began in Week 15 of the 2021 season and has carried into this year.

Those numbers come from him being targeted more than 10 times every game.

Does that put special emphasis, and perhaps double-coverage on his back? Bettors will have to make that decision. One thing is not in doubt: he is Jared Goff’s favorite receiver.

NFL Week 3 Totals Betting

The Lions-Vikings is by far the most popular Over, with 92% handle at 52.5.

The largest Under support, 79%, was tied between the Kansas City Chiefs-Indianapolis Colts (49.5), and the Arizona Cardinals-Los Angeles Rams (50.5).

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Any Concern for Justin Herbert Injury?

On the injury front, Justin Herbert’s fractured rib cartilage is not expected to hinder him, according to the betting line. His Los Angeles Chargers are -7 against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Bettors will watch this. Johnny Avello, the director of race and sports book operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today he believes Herbert is worth a full five points to the line.

Also check: NFL Week 3 Power Rankings

DraftKings Bettor Hits $25K Same Game Parlay

Amplifying the Lions’ popularity with bettors, one DraftKings gambler took it to the financial house with a Week 2 bet:

The customer placed a $25 Same Game Parlay on the Washington-Detroit game and won a $25,050 payout. Here are the winning legs:

• Total Points – 1st Quarter: Over 9.5
• DET Lions to Win by 5+ in 1st Quarter
• Carson Wentz Over 224.5 Passing Yards
• Carson Wentz 2+ Passing Touchdowns
• Antonio Gibson Under 74.5 Rushing Yards
• D’Andre Swift Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
• Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
• D’Andre Swift Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
• DET Lions Over 19.5 Total Points
• WAS Commanders Under 29.5 Total Points
• DET Lions 3+ Sacks Made

As multi-legged parlays go, this was relatively devoid of sweat.

But not entirely. The key to Washington staying under 29.5 points was a missed two-point conversion early in the fourth quarter. Had that been made, Washington would have stood right at 29 with an extra point that was eventually missed with 1:56 left.

Imagine having 25 Gs riding on an extra point?

There are several parlay hits like this each week. Bettors love the idea of leveraging a potentially big payout for a small investment.

Try your luck: Best sportsbook apps for NFL parlays

Compelling Backstories: One for Each Conference

Early Betting Line: Philadelphia -6.5 at Washington

Behind the Lines: Carson Wentz Faces Eagles for First Time

This is a natural high-interest game.

Toss aside Philadelphia’s dominance of this series in the last three decades –13-8 in the 1990s, 13-7 in the 2000s, and 12-8 in the 2010s.

This is the Eagles’ past versus the future.

When Wentz was laboring in 2020, going 3-8-1 in the 12 games he started, the Jalen Hurts chants went out from the crowd. It continued on the talk-show circuit throughout the off-season.

Wentz, for whom the Eagles had bestowed a monster $128 million, four-year contract in 2019, wasn’t the same player since returning from an ACL injury.

Eagles management received significant media heat for linking their future to Wentz after he’d been hurt and while he had been visibly slowed by the injury.

General manager Howie Roseman had twice traded up in the draft to get Wentz in 2016. While that looked understandable early in Wentz’ career, he was already hobbled by the time Roseman okayed the big contract in 2019.

There wasn’t room in Philly for both quarterbacks.

During the offseason, Wentz was traded to the Colts, and the Eagles became Hurts’ team.

He guided the Eagles to the post-season last year, while Wentz flopped in Indianapolis and was then traded to the Commanders.

Media platforms kept running comparisons of Hurts and Wentz.

And now, here … we … go. Both players are on the same field.

Wentz has led the Commanders to a 1-1 mark. Hurts has begun to look like the real deal in Philly, evidenced by his outstanding effort in Monday’s rout of the Minnesota Vikings.

Roseman might be off the hook now because he orchestrated a 2021 draft-night maneuver to obtain DeVonta Smith, landed A.J. Brown in the off-season, and has watched Hurts come into his own.

It’s official, the Eagles were better off going with Hurts. They just need one more “so there” game. Is this it?

Help with Handicapping: NFL Week 3 Betting Tips & Strategies

Early Betting Line: Bills -5.5 at Dolphins

Behind The Lines: Air Show

Never mind the Bills having won the last seven meetings.

Let’s look at the last eight quarters.

Josh Allen put up 317 yards and four touchdowns for the Bills in Monday’s 41-7 rout of the Tennessee Titans.

Tua Tagovailoa was unstoppable for Miami, throwing for four touchdowns in a single quarter. Tua delivered 469 yards with a career-high six TD’s. The books projected significant improvement for the Dolphins this year and are already seeing it. He brought the Dolphins from 35-14 down in the fourth quarter all the way to a 42-38 victory.

This team has Jaylen Waddle. And Tyreek Hill.

The Bills have Stefon Diggs and Allen.

Fill the air with footballs, we can’t wait to see these quarterbacks, who delivered 786 yards and 10 touchdowns last week.

The over-under is 53. For which half? Unless it’s really the Bills defense that becomes the story.

In any case, the bettors await a Prop-Till-You-Drop field day.

Also check: Super Bowl 57 odds

Current NFL Week 3 Betting Lines

Here are live odds for the third week of the NFL season from various legal US sportsbooks.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (9/22) @ 8:15pm ET PIT Steelers +155 +2500 +1700 +2000 +10000 0
CLE Browns -185 0 -10000 -5000 0 0
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET KC Chiefs -303 +420 +3300 +170 -244 +470 0
IND Colts +240 -588 -10000 -208 +200 -769 0
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET CIN Bengals -200 -3333 -10000 -1429 -278 0 0
NY Jets +170 +1100 +1450 +800 +235 +10000 +8000
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET LV Raiders -120 +1200 +400 +165 -127 +1700 +8000
TEN Titans +100 -3333 -667 -200 +112 -10000 0
Sun (9/25) @ 1:01pm ET BUF Bills -227 +195 -154 +100 -189 -161
MIA Dolphins +180 -238 +120 -130 +146 +135
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions +260 +480 +1000 +900 +560 +900
MIN Vikings -345 -833 -3333 -1667 -1000 -1667
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +120 +1800 +2500 +375 +1500 0
CHI Bears -145 -10000 -10000 -500 -10000 0
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET PHI Eagles -189 -3333 -10000 -3333 0 0
WAS Commanders +155 +1100 +3300 +1200 +10000 +15000
Sun (9/25) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens -149 -455 -10000 -345 0 0
NE Patriots +125 +340 +3300 +270 +8000 0
Sun (9/25) @ 1:03pm ET NO Saints -154 +2200 +1150 +625 +1500 +4000
CAR Panthers +130 -10000 -5000 -1000 -10000 0
Sun (9/25) @ 4:05pm ET JAX Jaguars +260 +190 +200 +200 +225 +220 +190
LA Chargers -345 -233 -278 -250 -263 -294 -238
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET GB Packers +125 +110 +140 +155 +104 +106 +150
TB Buccaneers -149 -141 -175 -189 -120 -123 -179
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET ATL Falcons +105 +125 +110 +115 +100 +105
SEA Seahawks -125 -154 -145 -145 -114 -120
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET LA Rams -200 -233 -200 -250 -182 -250
ARI Cardinals +165 +185 +155 +200 +160 +200
Sun (9/25) @ 8:20pm ET SF 49ers +100 -120 -125 -120 -120 -116 -120
DEN Broncos -120 +100 +105 +100 +105 -102 +105
Mon (9/26) @ 8:15pm ET DAL Cowboys +135 -105 -105 -105 +100 -102 +100
NY Giants -161 -115 -115 -115 -114 -116 -115
Thu (9/22) @ 8:15pm ET PIT Steelers +3.5 -115 +9.0 +150 +5.5 +230 +13.0 -263 +6.5 -2000 +9.5 -161
CLE Browns -3.5 -105 -9.0 -185 -5.5 -303 -13.0 +210 -6.5 +790 -9.5 +135
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET KC Chiefs -7.0 -105 -4.0 +120 +2.5 +180 +2.5 +140 -5.5 -112 +2.5 +1300 -4.0 +125
IND Colts +7.0 -115 +4.0 -149 -2.5 -250 -2.5 -169 +5.5 -109 -2.5 -5000 +4.0 -145
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET CIN Bengals -4.5 -110 -14.5 -303 -8.5 +100 -8.5 +100 -6.5 -110 -14.5 -417 -15.5 +135
NY Jets +4.5 -110 +14.5 +235 +8.5 -130 +8.5 -130 +6.5 -110 +14.5 +285 +15.5 -161
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET LV Raiders -1.0 -110 +8.0 -345 +7.5 +105 +7.5 +340 -2.0 -109 +1.5 +6000 +7.5 +230
TEN Titans +1.0 -110 -8.0 +270 -7.5 -141 -7.5 -455 +2.0 -112 -1.5 0 -7.5 -278
Sun (9/25) @ 1:01pm ET BUF Bills -4.5 -110 -1.5 -115 -2.5 -200 +1.5 -120 +2.5 0 -2.5 -238
MIA Dolphins +4.5 -110 +1.5 -115 +2.5 +150 -1.5 -110 -2.5 +6000 +2.5 +190
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions +7.0 -110 -3.0 +115 +3.5 +1150 -2.5 -161 +3.5 +830 -3.0 0
MIN Vikings -7.0 -110 +3.0 -145 -3.5 -5000 +2.5 +130 -3.5 -2000 +3.0 0
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +2.5 -105 +2.5 -105 +1.5 -105 +3.0 -222 +2.5 +1400 +2.5 -108
CHI Bears -2.5 -115 -2.5 -125 -1.5 -125 -3.0 +180 -2.5 -10000 -2.5 -108
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET PHI Eagles -4.0 -110 -15.5 -125 -15.5 +140 -16.0 -110 -21.5 -294 -15.5 +125
WAS Commanders +4.0 -110 +15.5 -105 +15.5 -185 +16.0 -120 +21.5 +215 +15.5 -145
Sun (9/25) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens -2.5 -115 -10.5 -164 -10.5 -10000 -11.0 -200 -10.5 -5000 -10.5 -189
NE Patriots +2.5 -105 +10.5 +135 +10.5 +1750 +11.0 +165 +10.5 +1100 +10.5 +160
Sun (9/25) @ 1:03pm ET NO Saints -3.0 -105 +8.0 -769 +14.5 +240 +8.0 +300 +7.5 +375 +14.5 0
CAR Panthers +3.0 -115 -8.0 +520 -14.5 -345 -8.0 -400 -7.5 -588 -14.5 0
Sun (9/25) @ 4:05pm ET JAX Jaguars +7.0 -110 +5.5 -115 +6.5 -125 +5.5 -115 +6.5 -112 +7.5 -128 +5.0 -108
LA Chargers -7.0 -110 -5.5 -115 -6.5 -105 -5.5 -115 -6.5 -109 -7.5 -102 -5.0 -108
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET GB Packers +3.0 -110 +2.5 -110 +3.5 -115 +3.5 -125 +1.5 -112 +1.5 -110 +3.5 -108
TB Buccaneers -3.0 -110 -2.5 -120 -3.5 -110 -3.5 -105 -1.5 -108 -1.5 -110 -3.5 -108
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET ATL Falcons +1.5 -110 +3.5 -120 +2.5 -110 +2.5 -105 +0.5 -108 +2.0 -110
SEA Seahawks -1.5 -110 -3.5 -110 -2.5 -115 -2.5 -125 -0.5 -114 -2.0 -105
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET LA Rams -3.5 -115 -6.0 -110 -4.5 -115 -6.5 -105 -3.5 -109 -6.0 -108
ARI Cardinals +3.5 -105 +6.0 -120 +4.5 -115 +6.5 -125 +3.5 -112 +6.0 -108
Sun (9/25) @ 8:20pm ET SF 49ers +1.5 -110 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -110 -1.5 -112 -1.0 -110 -1.5 -108
DEN Broncos -1.5 -110 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -110 +1.5 -109 +1.0 -110 +1.5 -108
Mon (9/26) @ 8:15pm ET DAL Cowboys +3.0 -110 +1.0 -115 +1.0 -110 +1.0 -110 +1.0 -110 +1.0 -110 +0.5 -105
NY Giants -3.0 -110 -1.0 -105 -1.0 -110 -1.0 -110 -1.0 -110 -1.0 -110 -0.5 -110
Thu (9/22) @ 8:15pm ET PIT Steelers u40.5 -110 u44 +105 u43.5 +110 u40.5 0 u40 -110
CLE Browns o40.5 -110 o44 -135 o43.5 -135 o40.5 +6500 o40 -105
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET KC Chiefs u49.5 -110 u37 -130 u41.5 -10000 u50.5 -110 u50.5 -112 u37.5 -3333 u36.5 +110
IND Colts o49.5 -110 o37 +100 o41.5 +3300 o50.5 -110 o50.5 -109 o37.5 +980 o36.5 -125
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET CIN Bengals o43.5 -105 o39.5 +235 o45.5 -135 o46 -110 o46.0 -108 o39.5 +235 o42 +105
NY Jets u43.5 -115 u39.5 -303 u45.5 +110 u46 -110 u46.0 -114 u39.5 -333 u42 -120
Sun (9/25) @ 1:00pm ET LV Raiders o45.5 -110 o40.5 +215 o44.5 -110 o45.5 -110 o45.5 -109 o46.5 +980 o40.5 +190
TEN Titans u45.5 -110 u40.5 -270 u44.5 -110 u45.5 -110 u45.5 -112 u46.5 -3333 u40.5 -238
Sun (9/25) @ 1:01pm ET BUF Bills o51.5 -110 o48.5 -110 o45.5 +155 o40.5 +2200 o45.5 +175
MIA Dolphins u51.5 -110 u48.5 -120 u45.5 -189 u40.5 0 u45.5 -208
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET DET Lions o51.5 -110 o52.5 +100 o55.5 +1000 o52.5 +630 o45.5 0
MIN Vikings u51.5 -110 u52.5 -130 u55.5 -3333 u52.5 -1250 u45.5 0
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans u39.5 -110 u43.5 -141 u45.5 -227 u43.5 -10000 u43.5 -141
CHI Bears o39.5 -110 o43.5 +110 o45.5 +170 o43.5 +1350 o43.5 +120
Sun (9/25) @ 1:02pm ET PHI Eagles o50.5 -110 o33 +100 o33.5 +120 o26.5 +168 o32.5 -169
WAS Commanders u50.5 -110 u33 -130 u33.5 -154 u26.5 -227 u32.5 +140
Sun (9/25) @ 1:03pm ET BAL Ravens o43.5 -105 o64 -120 o63.5 +1400 o63.5 +830 o63.5 +110
NE Patriots u43.5 -115 u64 -110 u63.5 -5000 u63.5 -2000 u63.5 -125
Sun (9/25) @ 1:03pm ET NO Saints u40.5 -110 u32 -110 u33.5 -125 u36.5 -417 u31.5 0
CAR Panthers o40.5 -110 o32 -120 o33.5 -105 o36.5 +285 o31.5 0
Sun (9/25) @ 4:05pm ET JAX Jaguars o47.5 -110 o39 -115 o37.5 -115 o45.5 -110 o46.0 -110 o44.5 -110 o38.5 -110
LA Chargers u47.5 -110 u39 -115 u37.5 -110 u45.5 -110 u46.0 -110 u44.5 -118 u38.5 -105
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET GB Packers o43.5 -110 o43.5 -115 o43.5 -110 o42 -110 o42.0 -110 o41.5 -115 o43 -105
TB Buccaneers u43.5 -110 u43.5 -115 u43.5 -115 u42 -110 u42.0 -110 u41.5 -105 u43 -110
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET ATL Falcons o42.5 -110 o44.5 -115 o43.5 -115 o43.5 -110 o44 -105
SEA Seahawks u42.5 -110 u44.5 -115 u43.5 -110 u43.5 -110 u44 -110
Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET LA Rams u50.5 -115 u50 -115 u48.5 -115 u48.5 -110 u50 -108
ARI Cardinals o50.5 -105 o50 -115 o48.5 -110 o48.5 -110 o50 -108
Sun (9/25) @ 8:20pm ET SF 49ers u43.5 -110 u45 -110 u45 -110 u45 -110 u45.0 -112 u45 -110 u45 -115
DEN Broncos o43.5 -110 o45 -110 o45 -110 o45 -110 o45.0 -109 o45 -110 o45 +100
Mon (9/26) @ 8:15pm ET DAL Cowboys o39.5 -115 o39 -110 o39 -110 o39 -110 o39.5 -109 o39.5 -110 o39 -110
NY Giants u39.5 -105 u39 -110 u39 -110 u39 -110 u39.5 -112 u39.5 -110 u39 -105
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo is a multiple award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970’s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. He has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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