NFL Betting Trends Week 3: Ravens, Chiefs, Lions Draw Early Wagering Action

GamingToday.com is an independent sports news and information service. GamingToday.com has partnerships with some of the top legal and licensed sportsbook companies in the US. Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook company when you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves.

For more information, please read How We Rate Sportsbooks, Privacy Policy, or Contact Us with any concerns you may have.

Gaming Today is licensed and regulated to operate in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, ME, MI, MS, NJ, NV, NY, OH, ON, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY.

Early NFL Week 3 betting trends see the Lions-Vikings line move in the direction of Amon-Ra St. Brown and the road underdog (AP Photo/Lon Horwedel)

Hit the Road, Jack.

The famous Ray Charles song applies to early NFL Week 3 betting at DraftKings, with an astounding six road favorites gaining overwhelming support from the betting public.

Four of these chalks received initial handle above 90%, and two reflect public indifference to what had been classic “push” territory, the “3” and “7” betting spread.

The Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs topped the early voting at 93%, despite being on these key numbers. Baltimore opened -3 against the host New England Patriots, and Kansas City was -7 against the host Indianapolis Colts. (The line moved to Kansas City -6.5 on Tuesday night, despite the lopsided action at DraftKings).

Through the first two weeks of the season, six games have ended with a three-point difference, and only one finished at seven.
Increased use of the two-point conversion has already eased betting concerns on “7”, and even the “3” number can be absorbed by bettors who want to buy half a point on either side for a few basis points (in Thursday’s Week 3 opener, the Cleveland Browns were -4.5 against the Pittsburgh Steelers on Tuesday afternoon. Moving the Browns to -4 was -122, not expensive from an original -110).
That strategy can also be used as a link to anchor multi-legged parlays.

Bet NFL at DraftKings: Bet $5 on NFL or College Football, Get $200 Instantly

NFL Bettors’ Recency Bias …

Monday Night Magic propelled the next two teams, the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles, near the top of public betting support.

The Bills garnered 92% of the early money at -5.5 as they visit the Miami Dolphins in a battle of stellar 2-0 teams. Bettors have apparently figured Buffalo’s 41-7 prime-time massacre of the Tennessee Titans into the equation. The Bills have outscored their first two opponents, 72-17.

The Philadelphia Eagles, who squelched the Minnesota Vikings 24-7 on Monday night, take a 2-0 record and 92% betting support into their matchup against the Washington Commanders at -6.5.

… But Also Retaining Faith

Bettors are still backing the Cincinnati Bengals, who have labored to an 0-2 start as defending AFC champs. For the first time this season, they are giving less than a touchdown. At -5 against the host New York Jets, they earned 89% of the early action.

Contrarians who think the Bengals are heading for a down year have been feasting by going against them. Cincy is 0-2 vs the number and the moneyline.

The San Francisco 49ers, who showed good defensive prowess in a 27-7 triumph over the Seattle Seahawks in Week 2, had 88% of the early money at -1.5 against the Denver Broncos.

Also read: Odds for an NFL Team to go Undefeated

Lions Building Bankrolls

On the plus-points side, bettors are in love with the Detroit Lions, who are +6 at the Minnesota Vikings.

The Lions have become a cash register for gamblers on the spread and the Over. Detroit is 2-0 on both, easily. The Lions were 11-6 ATS last season.

This team could be an early-season gold mine for gamblers. In two home games, they were +5.5 against the Philadelphia Eagles and only -2.5 against the Washington Commanders.

They have easily rewarded the Over, with point totals of 73 and 63. The Lions are reminiscent of the Bengals from last season: most betting lines look favorable to their backers.

The Lions also have an electrifying young player in Amon-Ra St. Brown. He notched two more touchdowns last week in Detroit’s 36-27 triumph over the Washington Commanders.

St. Brown became the first player in NFL history to have six straight regular-season games with at least eight receptions and a touchdown, according to the league. The streak began in Week 15 of the 2021 season and has carried into this year.

Those numbers come from him being targeted more than 10 times every game.

Does that put special emphasis, and perhaps double-coverage on his back? Bettors will have to make that decision. One thing is not in doubt: he is Jared Goff’s favorite receiver.

NFL Week 3 Totals Betting

The Lions-Vikings is by far the most popular Over, with 92% handle at 52.5.

The largest Under support, 79%, was tied between the Kansas City Chiefs-Indianapolis Colts (49.5), and the Arizona Cardinals-Los Angeles Rams (50.5).

Bet NFL at BetMGM: Use Code TODAY for $1,000 Risk-Free Bet

Any Concern for Justin Herbert Injury?

On the injury front, Justin Herbert’s fractured rib cartilage is not expected to hinder him, according to the betting line. His Los Angeles Chargers are -7 against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Bettors will watch this. Johnny Avello, the director of race and sports book operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today he believes Herbert is worth a full five points to the line.

Also check: NFL Week 3 Power Rankings

DraftKings Bettor Hits $25K Same Game Parlay

Amplifying the Lions’ popularity with bettors, one DraftKings gambler took it to the financial house with a Week 2 bet:

The customer placed a $25 Same Game Parlay on the Washington-Detroit game and won a $25,050 payout. Here are the winning legs:

• Total Points – 1st Quarter: Over 9.5
• DET Lions to Win by 5+ in 1st Quarter
• Carson Wentz Over 224.5 Passing Yards
• Carson Wentz 2+ Passing Touchdowns
• Antonio Gibson Under 74.5 Rushing Yards
• D’Andre Swift Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
• Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 49.5 Receiving Yards
• D’Andre Swift Over 19.5 Receiving Yards
• DET Lions Over 19.5 Total Points
• WAS Commanders Under 29.5 Total Points
• DET Lions 3+ Sacks Made

As multi-legged parlays go, this was relatively devoid of sweat.

But not entirely. The key to Washington staying under 29.5 points was a missed two-point conversion early in the fourth quarter. Had that been made, Washington would have stood right at 29 with an extra point that was eventually missed with 1:56 left.

Imagine having 25 Gs riding on an extra point?

There are several parlay hits like this each week. Bettors love the idea of leveraging a potentially big payout for a small investment.

Try your luck: Best sportsbook apps for NFL parlays

Compelling Backstories: One for Each Conference

Early Betting Line: Philadelphia -6.5 at Washington

Behind the Lines: Carson Wentz Faces Eagles for First Time

This is a natural high-interest game.

Toss aside Philadelphia’s dominance of this series in the last three decades –13-8 in the 1990s, 13-7 in the 2000s, and 12-8 in the 2010s.

This is the Eagles’ past versus the future.

When Wentz was laboring in 2020, going 3-8-1 in the 12 games he started, the Jalen Hurts chants went out from the crowd. It continued on the talk-show circuit throughout the off-season.

Wentz, for whom the Eagles had bestowed a monster $128 million, four-year contract in 2019, wasn’t the same player since returning from an ACL injury.

Eagles management received significant media heat for linking their future to Wentz after he’d been hurt and while he had been visibly slowed by the injury.

General manager Howie Roseman had twice traded up in the draft to get Wentz in 2016. While that looked understandable early in Wentz’ career, he was already hobbled by the time Roseman okayed the big contract in 2019.

There wasn’t room in Philly for both quarterbacks.

During the offseason, Wentz was traded to the Colts, and the Eagles became Hurts’ team.

He guided the Eagles to the post-season last year, while Wentz flopped in Indianapolis and was then traded to the Commanders.

Media platforms kept running comparisons of Hurts and Wentz.

And now, here … we … go. Both players are on the same field.

Wentz has led the Commanders to a 1-1 mark. Hurts has begun to look like the real deal in Philly, evidenced by his outstanding effort in Monday’s rout of the Minnesota Vikings.

Roseman might be off the hook now because he orchestrated a 2021 draft-night maneuver to obtain DeVonta Smith, landed A.J. Brown in the off-season, and has watched Hurts come into his own.

It’s official, the Eagles were better off going with Hurts. They just need one more “so there” game. Is this it?

Help with Handicapping: NFL Week 3 Betting Tips & Strategies

Early Betting Line: Bills -5.5 at Dolphins

Behind The Lines: Air Show

Never mind the Bills having won the last seven meetings.

Let’s look at the last eight quarters.

Josh Allen put up 317 yards and four touchdowns for the Bills in Monday’s 41-7 rout of the Tennessee Titans.

Tua Tagovailoa was unstoppable for Miami, throwing for four touchdowns in a single quarter. Tua delivered 469 yards with a career-high six TD’s. The books projected significant improvement for the Dolphins this year and are already seeing it. He brought the Dolphins from 35-14 down in the fourth quarter all the way to a 42-38 victory.

This team has Jaylen Waddle. And Tyreek Hill.

The Bills have Stefon Diggs and Allen.

Fill the air with footballs, we can’t wait to see these quarterbacks, who delivered 786 yards and 10 touchdowns last week.

The over-under is 53. For which half? Unless it’s really the Bills defense that becomes the story.

In any case, the bettors await a Prop-Till-You-Drop field day.

Also check: Super Bowl 57 odds

Current NFL Week 3 Betting Lines

Here are live odds for the third week of the NFL season from various legal US sportsbooks.

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (9/21) @ 8:16pm ET NY Giants +350 +2500 +1750 +850 +1700 +3000
SF 49ers -455 -10000 -10000 -1667 -10000 -10000
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET ATL Falcons +165 +950 +3300 +800 +870 0
DET Lions -200 -2000 -10000 -1667 -2000 0
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET LA Chargers -115 +200 +225 +350 +215 -145
MIN Vikings -105 -270 -303 -500 -294 +110
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots -135 0 -10000 0 -3333 -1667
NY Jets +110 +4000 +3300 +4500 +1060 +850
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET BUF Bills -303 -10000 -10000 -5000 0 -10000
WAS Commanders +240 +2200 +3300 +1200 +2000 +2000
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET IND Colts +310 -345 -667 -833 -714 -2500
BAL Ravens -400 +250 +400 +500 +450 +1050
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +340 0 -10000 -2500 0 -5000
JAX Jaguars -455 +3500 +2500 +1000 +2500 +1700
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints +105 -141 +1600 -105 -147 0
GB Packers -125 +110 -10000 -125 +116 0
Sun (9/24) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans +180 +4000 +3300 +1800 +1100 +10000
CLE Browns -227 0 -10000 -5000 -5000 0
Sun (9/24) @ 1:03pm ET DEN Broncos +240 +4000 +2000 +4000 +210 +4000 +7000
MIA Dolphins -303 0 -5000 0 -244 0 0
Sun (9/24) @ 4:05pm ET CAR Panthers +165 +1600 +1750 +800 +190 +1400 +1300
SEA Seahawks -200 -5000 -10000 -1667 -222 -5000 -3333
Sun (9/24) @ 4:25pm ET CHI Bears +525 +3500 +2500 +6000 +550 +3500 0
KC Chiefs -769 0 -10000 0 -714 0 0
Sun (9/24) @ 4:25pm ET DAL Cowboys -714 +470 +3300 +4000 -714 +500 +3000
ARI Cardinals +500 -769 -10000 0 +530 -833 -10000
Sun (9/24) @ 8:22pm ET PIT Steelers -120 0 -10000 -5000 +140 -5000 0
LV Raiders +100 +4000 +3300 +1200 -159 +1400 0
Mon (9/25) @ 7:15pm ET PHI Eagles -278 -10000 -10000 -10000 -10000 -5000
TB Buccaneers +225 +2200 +2000 +2500 +1500 +1500
Mon (9/25) @ 8:15pm ET LA Rams +225 +1600 +1400 +6000 +1700 +1700
CIN Bengals -278 -5000 -10000 0 -10000 -10000
Thu (9/21) @ 8:16pm ET NY Giants +10.0 -110 +17.5 +650 +18.5 -10000 +600.0 0 +17.5 +710 +18.0 +105
SF 49ers -10.0 -110 -17.5 -1111 -18.5 +3300 -600.0 -208 -17.5 -1667 -18.0 -130
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET ATL Falcons +4.5 -105 +13.5 +360 +14.5 -1250 +14.5 -115 +13.5 +235 +13.5 +230
DET Lions -4.5 -115 -13.5 -526 -14.5 +600 -14.5 -115 -13.5 -333 -13.5 -303
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET LA Chargers -1.5 -105 -1.5 +175 +2.5 -105 -3.5 -278 +2.5 -106 -1.0 +125
MIN Vikings +1.5 -115 +1.5 -233 -2.5 -125 +3.5 +215 -2.5 -122 +1.0 -154
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots -2.5 -110 -3.5 +195 -3.5 +200 -3.5 +380 -3.5 +330 -10.5 +110
NY Jets +2.5 -110 +3.5 -263 +3.5 -278 +3.5 -556 +3.5 -500 +10.5 -141
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET BUF Bills -6.5 -110 -36.5 -417 -34.5 -909 -34.0 +290 -36.5 -323 -36.5 -161
WAS Commanders +6.5 -110 +36.5 +290 +34.5 +500 +34.0 -400 +36.5 +230 +36.5 +130
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET IND Colts +8.5 -115 +2.5 +135 +1.5 -208 +3.0 +280 -1.5 +185 +0.5 0
BAL Ravens -8.5 -105 -2.5 -175 -1.5 +155 -3.0 -385 +1.5 -250 -0.5 0
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans +9.5 -110 -19.5 -263 -18.5 -250 -19.5 -400 -19.5 -294 -19.5 -400
JAX Jaguars -9.5 -110 +19.5 +195 +18.5 +190 +19.5 +290 +19.5 +215 +19.5 +300
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints +1.5 -105 -5.5 -208 -5.5 -227 +1.0 +350 -13.5 -147 -1.5 0
GB Packers -1.5 -115 +5.5 +160 +5.5 +165 -1.0 -500 +13.5 +112 +1.5 0
Sun (9/24) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans +4.5 -110 +24.5 -5000 +22.5 +1100 +24.0 -714 +23.5 +680 +24.0 -189
CLE Browns -4.5 -110 -24.5 +1600 -22.5 -5000 -24.0 +450 -23.5 -1429 -24.0 +150
Sun (9/24) @ 1:03pm ET DEN Broncos +7.0 -110 +50.5 -120 +49.5 +165 +49.0 +2200 +6.0 -110 +43.5 -128 +50.5 0
MIA Dolphins -7.0 -110 -50.5 -110 -49.5 -227 -49.0 -10000 -6.0 -110 -43.5 -102 -50.5 0
Sun (9/24) @ 4:05pm ET CAR Panthers +4.5 -110 +10.5 -135 +9.5 +3300 +11.0 0 +4.5 -110 +10.5 -114 +16.5 +200
SEA Seahawks -4.5 -110 -10.5 +105 -9.5 -10000 -11.0 +6000 -4.5 -110 -10.5 -114 -16.5 -263
Sun (9/24) @ 4:25pm ET CHI Bears +12.5 -110 +31.5 0 +30.5 +400 +31.0 -1250 +12.5 -109 +31.5 -1667 +35.0 0
KC Chiefs -12.5 -110 -31.5 +3000 -30.5 -667 -31.0 +670 -12.5 -112 -31.5 +750 -35.0 0
Sun (9/24) @ 4:25pm ET DAL Cowboys -12.5 -110 +11.5 +700 +11.5 +450 +12.0 +105 -12.0 -108 +11.5 +290 +5.5 -125
ARI Cardinals +12.5 -110 -11.5 -1250 -11.5 -769 -12.0 -135 +12.0 -114 -11.5 -417 -5.5 +100
Sun (9/24) @ 8:22pm ET PIT Steelers -1.5 -105 -5.5 +3000 -3.5 +110 -8.5 -179 +3.0 -110 -7.5 -139 -3.5 -112
LV Raiders +1.5 -115 +5.5 0 +3.5 -145 +8.5 +145 -3.0 -110 +7.5 +106 +3.5 -112
Mon (9/25) @ 7:15pm ET PHI Eagles -6.5 -110 -17.5 +180 -16.5 -130 -16.5 -179 -16.5 -182 -16.5 -125
TB Buccaneers +6.5 -110 +17.5 -238 +16.5 +100 +16.5 +145 +16.5 +136 +16.5 +100
Mon (9/25) @ 8:15pm ET LA Rams +6.5 -110 +7.5 -145 +6.5 +150 +7.5 -169 +6.5 -102 +7.0 -105
CIN Bengals -6.5 -110 -7.5 +114 -6.5 -200 -7.5 +135 -6.5 -128 -7.0 -120
Thu (9/21) @ 8:16pm ET NY Giants o45 -110 o43.5 -115 o43.5 -110 o43.5 -114 o42.5 +300
SF 49ers u45 -110 u43.5 -115 u43.5 -120 u43.5 -114 u42.5 -400
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET ATL Falcons o46.5 -110 o26.5 +300 o31.5 +125 o26.5 +162 o27.5 0
DET Lions u46.5 -110 u26.5 -417 u31.5 -164 u26.5 -213 u27.5 0
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET LA Chargers o51.5 -110 o55.5 -105 o64.5 -110 o55.5 -106 o59 -112
MIN Vikings u51.5 -110 u55.5 -125 u64.5 -120 u55.5 -122 u59 -112
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET NE Patriots o37.5 -110 o22.5 -130 o26.5 +100 o23.5 +112 o22.5 -120
NY Jets u37.5 -110 u22.5 +100 u26.5 -130 u23.5 -147 u22.5 -105
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET BUF Bills o45.5 -110 o36.5 -130 o37.5 +135 o36.5 -145 o36.5 -263
WAS Commanders u45.5 -110 u36.5 +100 u37.5 -175 u36.5 +110 u36.5 +200
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET IND Colts u44.5 -110 u41.5 -130 u36.5 -125 u36.5 -145 u33.5 0
BAL Ravens o44.5 -110 o41.5 +100 o36.5 -105 o36.5 +110 o33.5 0
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET HOU Texans o45.5 -110 o58.5 +120 o54.5 +175 o58.5 +122 o54.5 +240
JAX Jaguars u45.5 -110 u58.5 -149 u54.5 -250 u58.5 -161 u54.5 -323
Sun (9/24) @ 1:02pm ET NO Saints u43.5 -115 u31.5 -120 u31.5 -130 u31.5 -130 u38 0
GB Packers o43.5 -105 o31.5 -110 o31.5 +100 o31.5 +100 o38 0
Sun (9/24) @ 1:03pm ET TEN Titans u41.5 -110 u29.5 -110 u29.5 -110 u29.5 -114 u30 -125
CLE Browns o41.5 -110 o29.5 -120 o29.5 -120 o29.5 -115 o30 +100
Sun (9/24) @ 1:03pm ET DEN Broncos o46.5 -110 o92.5 -145 o80.5 +100 o47.5 -110 o47.5 -106 o96.5 -244 o90.5 +330
MIA Dolphins u46.5 -110 u92.5 +114 u80.5 -130 u47.5 -110 u47.5 -115 u96.5 +182 u90.5 -455
Sun (9/24) @ 4:05pm ET CAR Panthers o42.5 -110 o52.5 +110 o64.5 +2500 o42.5 -110 o51.5 -152 o52.5 +105
SEA Seahawks u42.5 -110 u52.5 -141 u64.5 -10000 u42.5 -110 u51.5 +116 u52.5 -130
Sun (9/24) @ 4:25pm ET CHI Bears o49 -110 o50.5 +110 o48.5 -110 o48.0 -109 o50.5 -115 o50 0
KC Chiefs u49 -110 u50.5 -141 u48.5 -120 u48.0 -112 u50.5 -114 u50 0
Sun (9/24) @ 4:25pm ET DAL Cowboys u43.5 -110 u44.5 -625 u51.5 -164 u43.5 -112 u51.5 -227 u44.5 -179
ARI Cardinals o43.5 -110 o44.5 +400 o51.5 +125 o43.5 -109 o51.5 +168 o44.5 +145
Sun (9/24) @ 8:22pm ET PIT Steelers u44.5 -110 u41.5 -175 u39.5 -110 u43.5 -114 u39.5 -110 u44 +100
LV Raiders o44.5 -110 o41.5 +135 o39.5 -120 o43.5 -108 o39.5 -118 o44 -125
Mon (9/25) @ 7:15pm ET PHI Eagles o44.5 -110 o39.5 -115 o42.5 -125 o39.5 +110 o41 -120
TB Buccaneers u44.5 -110 u39.5 -115 u42.5 -105 u39.5 -145 u41 -105
Mon (9/25) @ 8:15pm ET LA Rams u46 -110 u32.5 -125 u33.5 -130 u32.5 -115 u31 -105
CIN Bengals o46 -110 o32.5 -105 o33.5 +100 o32.5 -114 o31 -120
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

Get connected with us on Social Media