NFL Betting Trends, Week 9: Public Jumps on Struggling Bucs, Chargers, Raiders

GamingToday.com is an independent sports news and information service. GamingToday.com has partnerships with some of the top legal and licensed sportsbook companies in the US. When you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site, Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook company. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves.

For more information, please read How We Rank Sportsbooks, Privacy Policy, or Contact Us with any concerns you may have.

Gaming Today is licensed and regulated to operate in AZ, CO, CT, DC, IA, IL, IN, KS, LA, MD, MI, NV, NJ, NY, PA, TN, VA, WV, & WY.

To the Los Angeles Chargers, the betting message is “All is Forgiven”.

To the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, it’s “Time to begin Anew.”

To the Las Vegas Raiders, it could be “Here’s a Mulligan.”

Three struggling NFL teams have been given a Week 9 betting endorsement by the public, which expects them to break out. Here’s a look around the NFL with spread-bet handle percentages as of Wednesday morning.

DraftKings Sportsbook

Claim $1,250 on Bonuses for NFL Betting

Grab a $50 Free Bet, plus a Deposit Match worth as much as $1,000, from DraftKings. Also, try DraftKings’ ‘Bet $5 to win $200’ limited-time promo.

How the Week 9 Bets are Trending

The Chargers began Wednesday with 92% of the DraftKings handle as a 3-point road favorite against the Atlanta Falcons. This greets a team that was thumped 37-23 at home by the Seattle Seahawks before the bye.

The 4-3 Chargers are expected to run up numbers against the NFL’s worst pass defense that yields nearly 307 yards per game.

The Bucs, losers of three straight, are endorsed by 75% of the spread handle at -2.5 against the visiting Los Angeles Rams. How different this game is from their January playoff meeting, when the Rams toppled the Bucs and later won the Super Bowl.

Now it’s the 3-4 Rams and 3-5 Bucs, trying to survive. Will the apparent resolution of Tom Brady’s personal problems, a divorce, jump start his focus for Tampa Bay?

The Las Vegas Raiders also gained an unusual nod. They have 78% of the handle against the host Jacksonville Jaguars at -2. Anything with a minus number in front of the Raiders looks peculiar this week. You can’t minus a zero.

nfl week 9 betting trends, raiders
NFL Week 9 betting trends show the public backing the Raiders over Jacksonville (AP Photo/Matthew Hinton)

That’s what the Raiders got last week. They were shut out by the New Orleans Saints, 24-0.

That was a head-scratcher for bettors in Week 8. The Raiders had scored more than 30 points for three straight weeks. That goose egg blew up a number of Over parlays.

But here are the Raiders, again as a road chalk.

That’s the nature of misdirection thinking.

The books and bettors expect a change and have put it into the line.

Update: Super Bowl 2022 odds after trade deadline

Hot Teams Getting Bettors’ Love at Big Prices

Some betting considerations are actually in line with the teams’ recent performance.

The 7-0 Philadelphia Eagles had 92% of the midweek handle at -14 for Thursday’s matchup at the 1-5-1 Houston Texans. Philadelphia manhandled the Pittsburgh Steelers 35-13, while the Texans were dropped 17-10 by the Tennessee Titans, who had a backup quarterback.

Houston has the worst run defense in the league, and gamblers expect Philadelphia to exploit it.

The Eagles, along with the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs, are the high-quality teams laying double-digit numbers in Week 9.

Can they run the table: Eagles’ odds to go undefeated

Bills-Jets Backdrop

Did the Jets peak?

The betting line of the Bills -13 on the road suggests that. So does Buffalo garnering 79% of the spread handle.

Two major developments impact this line.

One, the Jets miss running-back stalwart Breece Hall, who was injured during their Week 7 victory over the Denver Broncos.

Two, they never recovered from a penalty last week. The high-water mark of the Jets’ season may be Michael Carter streaking down the sidelines for an 84-yard Pick 6 in the final minute of the first half against the New England Patriots.
The touchdown was going to put the Jets up, 17-3. But they were flagged for roughing the passer, an unfortunate call that had nothing to do with the play.

New England instead kicked a field goal just before the half, and the Jets eventually gave up 19 unanswered points. This was the day the Jets were going to erase New England’s 12-game win streak over them and emphasize a new hierarchy among the better teams of the NFC East.

Didn’t happen. And now they face Josh Allen and Co.

The Santa Claus Line?

Quick, which team has the longest win streak in the AFC? And why are they getting 12.5 points?

The Titans have won and covered five straight games. They sit atop the AFC South. Yet they are +12.5 against the host Chiefs, who have 73% of the spread handle.

The betting market appears to believe that Titans quarterback Ryan either won’t play or will be limited. Tannehill did not play last week because of an ankle injury and an illness. His backup Malik Willis was not effective.

Tennessee had Derrick Henry’s 219-yard day as a bailout against the Texans. But if the Chiefs shut him down — and they could pack the line of scrimmage to temper his impact — the Titans don’t have a passing game.

Any changes in this line could reflect sentiment about whether Tannehill will go.

Cincinnati Bengals: Split Decision

Public handle on the Bengals -7.5 versus the Carolina Panthers has been divided. The Panthers had a scant 49-51% betting handle majority, but the gamblers pushed the line from Cincinnati -7 to -7.5 early Wednesday morning.

This happened right after the Bengals were embarrassed on Monday night by the Cleveland Browns, 32-13.

Missing Ja’Marr Chase, the Bengals looked rudderless and could be in serious trouble.

The line nonetheless projects a rebound.

That may be easier said than done. The Panthers have shown some grit and authored “A Bettor’s Perilous Journey” for some in-game gamblers last week.

What a finish to their game against the Atlanta Falcons.

When Atlanta went ahead 34-28 with 36 seconds remaining, many Falcons bettors breathed a sigh of relief. But others bet on them to collapse.

Johnny Avello, director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today the Panthers’ in-game odds became +2600 at that moment. And there was plenty of action on that.

With no timeouts and 23 seconds left, Panthers quarterback P.J. Walker rolled out from his own 38 and launched a rainbow to D.J. Moore in the Falcons end zone. Moore snared it with 12 seconds to go.

The in-game bettors looked clairvoyant. But Moore took off his helmet in the celebration and drew a penalty, prompting the extra point to come from 48 yards out. It missed. So did Eddy Piñeiro’s overtime field goal from PAT range.

Given that many chances, the Falcons won.

For the bettors who took the stab at 26-to-1 odds, genius was not enough. This one exceeds the “bad beat” terminology.

There were too many steps involved. It was a “tortuous beat.”

Bet NFL Here: Caesars Promo Code TODAYFULL Gets $1,250 First Bet

That Didn’t Take Long

We speculated here a couple days ago that it would be interesting to see how much futures money the San Francisco 49ers would take in the wake of Week 8’s 31-14 throttling of the Los Angeles Rams.

Turns out, it’s a lot.

Since that game, the Niners have taken the most Super Bowl of any team in the league at DraftKings

That has knocked them all the way up to +1300 to win the Super Bowl at the book. That’s a significant jump from +1800, the area they’d been in before they traded for Christian McCaffrey.

CMC was a magician in the Niners’ victory. While the rushing touchdown was expected, his leaping touchdown catch and TD toss illustrate how dangerous the Niners could become

Along with the Niners, the Bills, Eagles, and Miami Dolphins are taking considerable DraftKings money to win the Super Bowl.

Read more: 49ers’ Super Bowl futures tighten after CMC trade

Bettors Cash In

A group of DraftKings gamblers went to the bank with Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb Monday night.
Chubb paid +700 to be the first TD scorer, -115 to tally any time, and +475 to hit paydirt twice in the team’s win over the Bengals.

Chubb paid a group of gamblers who had an angle.

One patron went deep on both teams and made a huge score.

The bettor was able to turn a $10 bet into a $14,010 payout. This SGP had a 40% profit boost and the winning legs were:
• Tee Higgins Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Jacoby Brissett Anytime Touchdown Scorer
• Nick Chubb 1st Touchdown Scorer
• Jacoby Brissett Over 219.5 Passing Yards
• Nick Chubb Over 99.5 Rushing Yards
• Donovan Peoples-Jones Over 49.5 Receiving Yards

What a call.

There were three high-risk elements that were realized.

Nick Chubb scored first. That part of the bet is always an educated crapshoot.

Browns quarterback Jacoby Brissett rushed for a score.

And Brissett somehow recorded 278 passing yards on a night for which the Browns ran the ball 44 times. The 44 and the 278 rarely go together.

But that, as Robert De Niro said in the movie “Casino”, is why it paid so well.

Risky Prop to Monitor

See if this is the edge you fan fine-tune over time and slam to your advantage.

Among the myriad of props at the books is one entitled ‘To Score First and Lose’. Seems like an obscure dice roll.

But it usually pays between +300 and +450. Pretty nice return for something that’s not predicated on the point spread or an individual player.

Last week, seven teams scored first and lost. What they had in common was that most of them are average or below average.

The Jacksonville Jaguars, Panthers, Lions, Jets, Texans, Indianapolis Colts, and Rams all paid in this category.

If you get a feel for this over time, it can pay handsomely. It also allows some razzle-dazzle. Try it with two teams. Hit one of them and the return should be close to 2-to-1. Hit both and you have about 4-to-1 on two separate wagers.

NFL Week 9 Betting Lines

Here are current odds from the top sports betting apps on this week’s NFL slate:

Bet TypeSpreads
Open
Thu (11/3) @ 8:15pm ET PHI Eagles -833 -10000 -5000 -5000 0 0
HOU Texans +550 +1700 +1900 +1600 +10000 +15000
Sun (11/6) @ 1:00pm ET GB Packers -185 +165 +150 +625 -200 +230 0
DET Lions +150 -204 -208 -1000 +175 -313 0
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET LV Raiders -125 +1000 +1500 +5000 +2000 0
JAX Jaguars +105 -2000 -10000 0 0 0
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET IND Colts +220 +1000 +1550 +2000 +3500 +3000
NE Patriots -278 -2000 -10000 -5000 0 -10000
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET LA Chargers -154 -5000 -10000 -1250 -1429 0
ATL Falcons +130 +1300 +1200 +700 +680 +6000
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET CAR Panthers +310 +1100 +3300 +1400 +2500 +17500
CIN Bengals -400 -2500 -10000 -5000 0 0
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET MIN Vikings -189 -556 -10000 -3333 -2500 0
WAS Commanders +155 +410 +2200 +1200 +900 +4000
Sun (11/6) @ 1:03pm ET BUF Bills -667 +1100 +3300 +800 +2000 +185
NY Jets +450 -2500 -10000 -1429 0 -238
Sun (11/6) @ 1:03pm ET MIA Dolphins -227 -357 -250 -714 -556 -323
CHI Bears +180 +280 +185 +475 +370 +250
Sun (11/6) @ 4:05pm ET SEA Seahawks +120 -5000 -5000 0 +114 -2000 0
ARI Cardinals -145 +1300 +1050 +6000 -128 +870 +15000
Sun (11/6) @ 4:25pm ET LA Rams +120 +470 +125 +2500 +136 +230 +230
TB Buccaneers -145 -714 -164 -10000 -154 -313 -303
Sun (11/6) @ 8:22pm ET TEN Titans +375 +1800 +1600 +1600 +1400 +1700
KC Chiefs -500 -10000 -10000 -5000 -5000 -5000
Mon (11/7) @ 8:15pm ET BAL Ravens -175 -5000 -10000 -5000 -5000 0
NO Saints +145 +1300 +3300 +1400 +1100 +15000
Thu (11/3) @ 8:15pm ET PHI Eagles -13.5 -110 -11.5 -526 -11.5 -714 -11.5 -556 -11.5 -667 -12.5 -108
HOU Texans +13.5 -110 +11.5 +390 +11.5 +450 +11.5 +400 +11.5 +410 +12.5 -108
Sun (11/6) @ 1:00pm ET GB Packers -3.5 -110 +5.5 +140 +5.5 +3300 +5.5 +130 -4.0 -110 +5.5 +130 +5.5 +140
DET Lions +3.5 -110 -5.5 -175 -5.5 -10000 -5.5 -161 +4.0 -110 -5.5 -169 -5.5 -169
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET LV Raiders -1.5 -110 +4.5 -250 +3.5 +170 +4.5 -179 +4.5 -333 +4.0 -161
JAX Jaguars +1.5 -110 -4.5 +200 -3.5 -227 -4.5 +150 -4.5 +235 -4.0 +135
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET IND Colts +6.5 -115 +22.5 +165 +22.5 +550 +23.0 +750 +22.5 +290 +23.0 +130
NE Patriots -6.5 -105 -22.5 -204 -22.5 -1000 -23.0 -1250 -22.5 -417 -23.0 -149
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET LA Chargers -3.0 -105 -3.5 +215 -2.5 -125 -3.0 +200 -3.5 -102 -3.0 +115
ATL Falcons +3.0 -115 +3.5 -270 +2.5 -105 +3.0 -250 +3.5 -128 +3.0 -135
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET CAR Panthers +8.5 -110 +21.5 -400 +35.5 -175 +600.0 0 +22.5 -118 +25.0 -108
CIN Bengals -8.5 -110 -21.5 +300 -35.5 +135 -600.0 -500 -22.5 -110 -25.0 -108
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET MIN Vikings -3.5 -110 -2.5 -125 -2.5 -130 -3.0 -105 -2.5 -130 -2.5 -115
WAS Commanders +3.5 -110 +2.5 -105 +2.5 +100 +3.0 -125 +2.5 +100 +2.5 +100
Sun (11/6) @ 1:03pm ET BUF Bills -13.0 -110 -3.5 +140 +1.5 +180 -3.5 -135 -3.5 +104 -3.0 -108
NY Jets +13.0 -110 +3.5 -175 -1.5 -250 +3.5 +105 +3.5 -135 +3.0 -108
Sun (11/6) @ 1:03pm ET MIA Dolphins -4.5 -110 -3.5 +155 -2.5 -208 -2.5 -238 -2.5 -227 -3.0 +130
CHI Bears +4.5 -110 +3.5 -189 +2.5 +160 +2.5 +195 +2.5 +168 +3.0 -149
Sun (11/6) @ 4:05pm ET SEA Seahawks +2.5 -110 -9.5 -769 -12.5 +3300 -11.0 +1100 +2.5 -112 -9.5 -333 -6.5 +120
ARI Cardinals -2.5 -110 +9.5 +530 +12.5 -10000 +11.0 -2500 -2.5 -109 +9.5 +235 +6.5 -141
Sun (11/6) @ 4:25pm ET LA Rams +2.5 -105 -6.5 -115 -3.5 -105 -3.5 -120 +3.0 -109 -6.5 -139 -3.5 -120
TB Buccaneers -2.5 -115 +6.5 -115 +3.5 -125 +3.5 -110 -3.0 -112 +6.5 +106 +3.5 +105
Sun (11/6) @ 8:22pm ET TEN Titans +10.5 -105 -2.5 -105 -5.5 -105 -1.5 +110 -2.5 -114 -2.5 -105
KC Chiefs -10.5 -115 +2.5 -125 +5.5 -125 +1.5 -141 +2.5 -115 +2.5 -110
Mon (11/7) @ 8:15pm ET BAL Ravens -3.0 -115 -13.5 -10000 -13.5 -556 -14.5 +195 -14.5 +710 -14.0 +120
NO Saints +3.0 -105 +13.5 +2200 +13.5 +360 +14.5 -238 +14.5 -1667 +14.0 -141
Thu (11/3) @ 8:15pm ET PHI Eagles u43.5 -115 u52.5 +100 u52.5 -110 u46.5 -435 u53 -145
HOU Texans o43.5 -105 o52.5 -130 o52.5 -120 o46.5 +300 o53 +125
Sun (11/6) @ 1:00pm ET GB Packers u49 -110 u34.5 -135 u24.5 -10000 u49.5 -110 u49.5 -110 u34.5 -135 u30.5 +100
DET Lions o49 -110 o34.5 +105 o24.5 +3300 o49.5 -110 o49.5 -110 o34.5 +104 o30.5 -115
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET LV Raiders u46.5 -110 u49.5 -110 u45.5 +120 u51.5 -120 u50.5 +105
JAX Jaguars o46.5 -110 o49.5 -120 o45.5 -154 o51.5 -108 o50.5 -120
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET IND Colts o39.5 -110 o25.5 +120 o24.5 -105 o25.5 -110 o25 -110
NE Patriots u39.5 -110 u25.5 -149 u24.5 -125 u25.5 -118 u25 -105
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET LA Chargers u49.5 -115 u41.5 -115 u40.5 +115 u42.5 -114 u38.5 -145
ATL Falcons o49.5 -105 o41.5 -115 o40.5 -145 o42.5 -114 o38.5 +125
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET CAR Panthers o43.5 -110 o62.5 -500 o56.5 +130 o59.5 -106 o59.5 -108
CIN Bengals u43.5 -110 u62.5 +360 u56.5 -161 u59.5 -122 u59.5 -108
Sun (11/6) @ 1:02pm ET MIN Vikings o44.5 -115 o40.5 -120 o40.5 -110 o40.5 -128 o40.5 -115
WAS Commanders u44.5 -105 u40.5 -110 u40.5 -115 u40.5 -102 u40.5 +100
Sun (11/6) @ 1:03pm ET BUF Bills o47.5 -110 o40.5 -154 o37.5 +120 o40.5 -161 o41 +110
NY Jets u47.5 -110 u40.5 +125 u37.5 -149 u40.5 +122 u41 -130
Sun (11/6) @ 1:03pm ET MIA Dolphins u45.5 -110 u73.5 +135 u73.5 +115 u74.5 -161 u73.5 +100
CHI Bears o45.5 -110 o73.5 -164 o73.5 -149 o74.5 +122 o73.5 -115
Sun (11/6) @ 4:05pm ET SEA Seahawks u49.5 -110 u41.5 -130 u52.5 -10000 u49.5 -112 u40.5 +120 u51.5 +115
ARI Cardinals o49.5 -110 o41.5 +100 o52.5 +1300 o49.5 -109 o40.5 -156 o51.5 -135
Sun (11/6) @ 4:25pm ET LA Rams o42.5 -110 o25.5 +205 o29.5 +145 o42.5 -112 o26.5 -114 o29 +110
TB Buccaneers u42.5 -110 u25.5 -256 u29.5 -185 u42.5 -109 u26.5 -114 u29 -130
Sun (11/6) @ 8:22pm ET TEN Titans u46.5 -110 u35.5 -120 u34.5 -105 u36.5 -108 u35 +100
KC Chiefs o46.5 -110 o35.5 -110 o34.5 -125 o36.5 -120 o35 -115
Mon (11/7) @ 8:15pm ET BAL Ravens o48.5 -110 o38.5 -130 o40.5 +650 o33.5 -114 o39.5 -141
NO Saints u48.5 -110 u38.5 +100 u40.5 -1429 u33.5 -115 u39.5 +120
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo is a multiple award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970’s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. He has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

Get connected with us on Social Media

[class^="wpforms-"]
[class^="wpforms-"]
[class^="wpforms-"]
[class^="wpforms-"]