The streaking Las Vegas Raiders (5-7) visit the Los Angeles Rams (3-9) on Thursday Night Football to get the Week 14 NFL schedule underway.
Las Vegas has reentered the playoff picture with three straight victories, while Los Angeles has lost six straight games, as well as Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp to injuries.
Despite both teams’ struggles this season, there are a few hidden gems that bettors can take advantage of in this primetime matchup. Here are the best player props and anytime touchdown scorer bets for Raiders vs. Rams TNF.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Rams TNF Odds
After finally playing like the team we expected them to be prior to Week 1, the Raiders — priced between -240 and -255 on the moneyline as of Wednesday morning — are 6-point road favorites against a decimated Rams team, which looks to pull off the upset with odds ranging from +195 and +210.
Bettors’ New Year’s resolutions must include not backing these two squads because 2022 was a lost season for betting. The Raiders are 0-3 as road favorites on the season. The Rams, meanwhile, are 2-5 at SoFi Stadium and are 1-3-2 when pegged as the underdog.
That being said, Las Vegas is getting most of the love from DraftKings bettors, with 68% of spread tickets and 79% of moneyline tickets going to the away team.
The Over/Under total for this primetime fixture is set at 44.5 points on legal US sports betting apps.
NFL · Thu (12/8) @ 8:16pm ET
|SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California|
Player Props, TD Scorer Bets for TNF Week 14
Davante Adams Over 88.5 Receiving Yards (-115, DraftKings) | Anytime TD Scorer (-140, Caesars)
Near-neutral odds for the NFL’s most prolific receiving scorer must be a misprint, right? It should be, but it’s not. Therefore, hammer this bet with all your might.
Davante Adams has scored in eight of 12 games this season and has a league-leading 12 receiving touchdowns.
As scary as he is at reaching the end zone, he’s just as dangerous at racking up yards. The league’s fourth-leading receiver (1,176 total) has gone Over on his Week 14 receiving prop total in seven of his last nine games, averaging 109.7 yards over that span.
Los Angeles just gave up 127 and 128 yards to DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, respectively, last week. Adams is better than both of those studs and should be able to torch a mediocre Rams pass defense.
NFL props bonuses: Get $50 Free + 20% Up to $1,000 On Deposit at DraftKings
Davante Adams Most Receiving Yards of Game (-170, FanDuel)
You can find this prop bet only at FanDuel. Adams has been the clear-clut best receiver in almost every game he’s played in this season. He’s been the leading Raiders receiver in eight of the last nine contests.
And it’s not like the race has been close either. The smallest margin between Adams and the next best receiver was a solid 40 yards. Recent margins have been totals like 142, 89, 83, and 104.
But what about the opposing team’s receivers? Here’s a counter question: is any Rams receiver, especially with either Baker Mayfield or John Wolford at quarterback, a true threat to spoiling this prop bet?
Let’s say we include opposing receivers into the mix. Adams has still out-gained the entire field in eight of 12 games.
Josh Jacobs Under 86.5 Rushing Yards (-117, Caesars)
Josh Jacobs has been gashing defenses all year long, but Los Angeles will draw a line in the sand on Thursday night.
The Aaron Donald-led Rams allow the fourth-fewest ground yards per game (96.7) and the fourth-fewest yards per carry (3.9). Teams are fully aware of how stout the Rams are up front, which is why teams run an average of just 24.6 rushing attempts per game on them. That’s the seventh fewest of any defensive unit.
And for those saying that the Rams will face a ton of runs because they’ll be down on the scoreboard, we counteract by saying the Kansas City Chiefs led for the entire game against Los Angeles in their Week 12 matchup, yet their leading rusher (Isiah Pacheco) ran for just 69 yards.
A similar story happened when the Rams were down to the Arizona Cardinals in Week 10. Arizona led by two touchdowns for much of the contest, yet its top running back James Conner totaled just 69 yards rushing.
Collect betting bonus pack here: $1,250 First Bet + 1000 Tier Credits + 1000 Reward Credits With Caesars Promo Code ‘TODAYFULL’
Derek Carr Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-115, FanDuel)
It’s a little chalky here, but we tried to look for the best value. When you look at the numbers, paying -160 odds is worth it.
You wouldn’t be able to tell by looking at the Raiders’ record that the team has one of the best passing offenses in football. Derek Carr has thrown for multiple passing scores in nine of his 12 games this season, including five straight.
With the emergence of Jacobs on the ground, defenses have had a tough time defending against both the run and the pass. The Raiders’ “Big Three” (Carr, Adams, and Jacobs) work hand in hand to make their lives on the field easier for each other, which has allowed the quarterback to relax in the pocket and throw dimes for points.