UCLA’s season-low output has been 32 points in a victory over South Alabama. Everything else has been in the 40s. Since that embarrassing season-opening thrashing against Georgia, Oregon hasn’t tallied fewer than 41 points.
Games involving these two are a combined 9-3 to Over, too, this season. One forecast projects a 50% chance of rain for the Fox (FS1) kickoff, dissipating as the game goes on with temperatures in the low 50s and minimal wind.
Perfect pigskin weather and ESPN will stage its “College GameDay” from the venue. Kudos to that network for the fair play, since Fox or FS1 will broadcast the game.
Even with some wet stuff, excellent Autzen drainage will foster a track meet. Which produces sweet-smelling memories of Track Town Pizza, a walk from the arena named after that Nike guy. After this track meet, those fortunate to attend now know where to go.
So, here’s a look at UCLA vs. Oregon odds and a pick in Week 8 of the NCAAF season.
UCLA vs. Oregon Betting Lines: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline
Here are live odds from around the betting market for UCLA vs. Oregon at Autzen Stadium.
NCAAF · Sat (10/22) @ 3:30pm ET
| UCLA UCLA | at | OREG Oregon |
| Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon | ||
No. 9 UCLA Bruins (6-0, 4-2 Against the Spread)
Dorian Thompson-Robinson, please take a bow. When times might have gotten a bit tough in Westwood, the Vegas native proved he was tougher and, unlike a few thousand others, resisted zipping for the nearest transfer portal.
He is the field general of one of the nation’s most seasoned and mature squads, and all they’re doing is hitting a magnificent stride.
“I’ve spent so much time with this team, this program; being on my fifth year now, I know [as well] as anyone the growth that’s behind the scenes and how much we’ve put in … the time and effort with each other,” he said on a recent ESPN SportsCenter. “I just couldn’t say how proud and how thankful I am to be on this team.”
The 6-foot-1, 205-pound fifth-year senior owns a QB Rating of 180.6, the fifth-best in the nation. Under his touch, the Bruins’ offense is the No. 10 most-efficient offense in the country, at 0.565 points per play (PPP).
Here’s where it gets fun. Over its past three games, UCLA averages 0.635 PPP. In beating Utah two weeks ago at the Rose Bowl, that was 0.667. Away from home, it’s even better at 0.703.
All key trends point to an explosive performance Saturday afternoon in Eugene.
A pro bettor I know has been very impressed with DTR’s performances this season, especially his smart and tactical 18-for-23 effort for 299 yards, four touchdowns, one pick, and one rushing score in that 42-32 victory over Utah.
On the year, he has thrown for 15 TDs and had only two of 163 attempts picked off by foes. He has run it in four times, averaging about 40 ground yards per game, 5.5 per scamper.
“It’s a blast, for sure,” Thompson-Robinson said. “The vibe around campus, being a student-athlete at UCLA, everybody’s showing love, so it’s fun for sure.”
Jake Bobo, his favorite target, might be NFL material having blossomed playing with Thompson-Robinson. The 6-5, 215-pound receiver, a Massachusetts native who played four years at Duke before heading west, leads UCLA with 385 reception yards (a 16-yard average) and five TDs.
Eight other Bruins have nabbed at least 100 yards’ worth of catches — an impressive arsenal. Two of those are tailbacks and one of those — Zach Charbonnet, the ex-Michigan runner — averages nearly eight yards on 98 runs and has six TDs.
This is an elite offense averaging 510 yards a game, sixth in the country. And Thompson-Robinson is completing passes at a 73.46% clip, No. 2 in the nation.
That’s a season stat that is better over his past three games, and it’s even better in his last tilt. DTR has been outstanding and is only getting better, priming this game for an electric duel against Bo Nix.
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No. 10 Oregon Ducks (5-1, 4-2 ATS)
Nix, Alabama’s Mr. Football in 2018, hit the portal in Auburn, Alabama, and didn’t disembark until the shuttle landed in the Northwest and Eugene.
He averages about 250 aerial yards and has 12 TDs and three interceptions. He favors a pair of sophomores in 6-3 receiver Troy Franklin (16-yard average on 27 catches, three TDs) and 6-5 tight end Terrance Ferguson (four TDs).
UCLA has yielded an average of 445 offensive yards in its past two games, so a few fans in the stands figure to get whiplash watching these go back and forth, like a tennis match.
UCLA vs. Oregon Sports Betting Recommendation & Pick
When these two get together, fireworks ensue. In recent games, 65, 73, and 63 points have been slapped onto the scoreboard. One of our models has 78 being scored here and another 67.
We can also comfortably suggest at least a half-unit separate action on UCLA plus the points. In a key metric, the Bruins are 21st in pass defense and the Ducks 80th. Also, UCLA is a better ball-hawking squad than Oregon, so we project the Bruins to have the turnover edge.
Moreover, consider the Bruins on the moneyline since Chip Kelly owns 13 years of head-coaching experience (including four at Oregon and a few in the NFL) compared to Dan Lanning’s six games.
Our Pick: Over 69.5 (-110)
Also read: Discover the best sportsbook app for you | How to bet on CFB
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