UNC vs NC State Prediction, Odds, Best Bets: North Carolina Rivals Face Off With Identical Records

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The Carolina-State rivalry pits a pair of 8-3 teams as the North Carolina Tar Heels visit the NC State Wolfpack at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, North Carolina.


The North Carolina Tar Heels enter this matchup as an favorite despite playing on the road. NC State is higher in the ACC standings due to their 5-2 conference record, but with UNC at 4-3 in the conference, a road win for the Tar Heels would push them above their rivals in the table and perhaps set up a more lucrative bowl game.

Check out our UNC vs NC State prediction, odds, and best bets.

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UNC vs NC State Spread, Moneyline, Total

Here are the best available odds for moneyline, spread, and total across top sports betting apps. Click on the odds you like to place a bet. Learn more about sports betting promos when signing up to receive bonus bets.

Spread: UNC , NC State
Moneyline: UNC , NC State

UNC vs NC State Betting Trends

  • UNC, NC State ATS Records: UNC 6-5-0 NC State 6-5-0
  • UNC, NC State Over/Under Records: UNC Over 5-5-1, NC State 3-8-0
  • UNC, NC State best ACC odds: UNC , NC State
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UNC vs NC State Props

Some of the player props available for the top stars in this matchup — from North Carolina QB Drake Maye to NC State playcaller Brennan Armstrong — are listed below:


Tar Heels QB Drake Maye has posted 3,354 passing yards and 22 touchdown passes but has to be looking to boost those numbers in a rivalry game. Maye has had a minimum of 208 yards per game and thrown a TD pass in all but one game this season. He’s also coming off throwing one of his best-scoring passes this year. He can also score himself with eight rushing TDs this season.

WR JJ Jones was the recipient of that highlight-worthy TD against Clemson and could be a value pick considering he only has 2 TDs this season, despite having the second-most receiving yards on his team. Devontez Walker leads UNC with six receiving TDs and RB Omarion Hampton leads in rushing TDs.

Wolfpack QB Brennan Armstrong missed a few games in October but retook playcalling duties in the past two games. In every game he’s played, he’s thrown for at least a TD on all but one occasion. He also had two rushing TDs in the previous game, showing he can add that side to his game. He’s not a big yard-getter, with the most he’s thrown for in a game this season topping at 264 yards.

Armstrong actually leads in rushing yards and has six rushing TDs. RB Delbert Mimms III is fifth in rushing on the team but has the most TDs with seven, so he could be a pick to score despite the bulk of his numbers coming earlier in the season. WR Kevin Concepcion leads in receiving yards and touchdowns and should be your main pick for scoring.

UNC vs NC State Analysis and Prediction

Last year’s encounter delivered and then some, with double OT needed to decide what would end up being a 30-27 NC State win at Chapel Hill. The previous year also went to NC State in a win by four points during regulation. The Wolfpack have dominated the decade with six victories in the past nine meetings.

Now the Tar Heels will want to return the sentiment by winning on their rivals’ turf. The edge goes to UNC on offense but NC State is the team in better form, arriving on a four-game winning streak and hosting. The Tar Heels have lost three of its last five after starting with a six-game winning run.

The rivalry aspect should make for a close game, and the fact that this is arguably the most important game left unless an appealing bowl game calls, we should see almost a championship-game approach.

Pick: Tar Heels (-2 at time of publishing), Under (55 at time of publishing)

How to Watch UNC vs NC State

  • Date: Saturday, Nov. 25, 2023
  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Carter–Finley Stadium (Raleigh, North Carolina)
  • Network: ACC Network

Read more: NCAAF Week 13 odds | College Football Championship odds | Best college football betting apps

About the Author
Victor Araiza

Victor Araiza

Victor Araiza is a sports betting writer for Gaming Today who joined the team in 2022. Araiza has over a decade of experience covering major sports in the United States with a specialty in soccer.

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