Most of the free world has bumped this total from its 55.5 opener to be expected for a high-wire game that deserves this late-night spotlight on ESPN.
Oregon has been racking up yardage lately, especially through the air. Utah has been gaining large chunks, too, especially on the ground. If it’s available anywhere, a wise prop might be these two combining for more than 1,000 yards.
The combination of the Ducks playing at home, their once-stout rush defense springing leaks, and their outstanding quarterback Bo Nix all convince us to take the Over and enjoy the fireworks on the field.
It should be cold around 38 at kickoff with minimal wind or precipitation issues.
So, here’s a look at Utah vs. Oregon odds and a pick in Week 12 of the NCAAF season.
Utah vs. Oregon Betting Lines: Point Spread, Total, Moneyline
Here are live odds from around the betting market for Utah vs. Oregon at Autzen Stadium.
NCAAF · Sat (11/19) @ 10:30pm ET
|Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon|
No. 10 Utah Utes (5-4, 3-6 Against the Spread)
The Utes averaged 251 rushing yards in their past three tilts, which is top-10 in the country.
Tavion Thomas, a 6-foot-2, 240-pound junior bulldozer, is the main runner who averages 70 yards a game with seven touchdowns. Cameron Rising, the 6-2, 220-pound junior quarterback, has six running TDs.
Ja’Quinden Jackson, who began his career at Texas, broke out for a career-best 97 yards last weekend and highlights a roster stocked with tailbacks.
Utah could sting an Oregon rush defense that has allowed three of its past six opponents at least 300 yards on the ground — Stanford ran for 351 in Eugene, Arizona tallied 306 in Tucson, and the Huskies zapped Oregon for 318 last week.
Utah has gashed its past two opponents for 585 rushing yards and seven TDs. And for the third time this season, Rising tossed four TD passes last week at home against the Cardinal.
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No. 12 Oregon Ducks (7-2, 6-3 ATS)
Bo Nix, the Auburn transfer, had a rough début as a Duck against Georgia in a 49-3 drubbing in Atlanta. Then Oregon rattled off eight consecutive victories by never scoring fewer than 41 points — and then came Washington.
For the second time this season, the Ducks allowed a foe more than 500 yards of offense at home last weekend in a shocking 37-34 defeat to Washington, which tallied 522 yards. Georgia accumulated 571 yards.
Nix is connecting with his receivers at a 72.8% rate, the best in the country. He has run it in for 14 touchdowns (tops for quarterbacks) and his 24 passing TDs are tied for 15th in the game.
In total yards per play in college football, the No. 1 guy isn’t Hendon Hooker of Tennessee, Stetson Bennett of Georgia, Drake Maye of North Carolina, Michael Penix Jr. of Washington, Caleb Williams of USC, or Frank Harris of UTSA.
It is Nix at 8.6 yards per play. It could be a lethal mix with a Utah defense that yields 7.7 yards per pass overall and 8.3 on the road, both in the bottom quarter of college football.
While 6-2 sophomore Troy Franklin (17.6 yard average on 44 catches and six touchdowns) is Nix’s main target. 5-11 sophomore Kris Hutson and 6-3 senior Chase Cota have both gained more than 300 reception yardage. Plus, 6-6 sophomore tight end Terrance Ferguson has five TD catches.
Moreover, 5-10 sophomore tailback Mar’Keise Irving, the tip of the Ducks’ ground spear with an average of 84 yards a game, has also caught 22 balls for 241 yards and three scores.
Nix will do well to avoid Utah sophomore cornerback Clark Phillips III, who is tied with a bunch with a top-10 five interceptions.
Oregon averages 552 yards of offense over its past three games (fourth-best in the nation) with a passing average over that span of 325 (10th in the nation). Seven times it has racked up more than 500 yards and twice more than 600.
In their past five games, the Ducks have a plus-seven turnover edge (10-3).
The numbers are dizzying, which should produce one of the day’s more entertaining games.
Utah vs. Oregon Sports Betting Recommendation & Pick
We have one model that projects a 41-37 victory by Oregon. Another pegs the Utes tallying 28 points and the Ducks racking up more than 40.
Our early interest was on the Over. A deep excavation confirms that position and shows that this should be a wild one.
Our Pick: Over 61.5 (-110)