The Minnesota Vikings, who opened the 2022 NFL season +4000 to win Super Bowl 57 on the futures boards at DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet, and BetMGM, have the second-best record in the league yet have only the seventh-shortest odds (tied with the Miami Dolphins).
Here’s where the Vikings’ odds stand as of Dec. 5.
Analysis of Vikings’ Super Bowl odds
The Vikings (10-2 straight up, 6-5-1 against the spread), runaway leaders in the NFC North and guided by rookie head coach Kevin O’Connell, are listed at +2000 at DraftKings after their close-call 27-22 home win over the New York Jets on Sunday. Minnesota’s odds are as short as +1200 on some boards.
In the overall NFC standings, Minnesota holds a one-game lead over the Dallas Cowboys (9-3) for the second seed but would lose the head-to-head tiebreaker to the Cowboys. The Vikings also are a game behind the Philadelphia Eagles (11-1) for the top seed but lose that head-to-head tiebreaker also.
|Vikings odds to win:||DraftKings||BetMGM (Code TODAY)||FanDuel|
|Super Bowl 57||+2000||+1600||+1600|
The overall Super Bowl favorite is again Buffalo (+375 BetMGM, PointsBet), which is 9-3 and now slotted as the No. 1 seed in the AFC ahead of No. 2 Kansas City. The Chiefs (+500 DraftKings) lost their handle on the top slot with a loss to the Cincinnati Bengals last week, dropping to 9-3 (they lose the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Bills). Also at +500 are the 11-1 Eagles (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM).
Next comes the 9-3 Cowboys (+750 FanDuel), whose odds shortened from +900 after routing the Indianapolis Colts 54-19 on Monday Night Football. Then come the sliding San Francisco 49ers (8-4), who are at +1200 (DraftKings, FanDuel). Although they beat Miami 33-17 on Sunday, they also were big losers with the broken foot suffered by QB Jimmy Garoppolo. He’s out for the rest of the season, which contributes to the team’s odds lengthening from +650 a week ago.
Also at +1200 is defending AFC champion Cincinnati, which is 8-4 and on a four-game winning streak. Miami (8-4) is tied with Minnesota at +2000 (DraftKings).
What are the Vikings’ Chances to Win Super Bowl 57?
In all likelihood, their path through the postseason will require them to beat the Eagles and/or the Cowboys. And since those teams beat Minnesota by a cumulative 64-10 in the regular season, the Vikings’ chances don’t appear bright.
But then again, last year’s Super Bowl champions, the Los Angeles Rams, had the good fortune of not spending too much time in the deep end of the playoff pool, facing a No. 4, a No. 5, and a No. 6 seed en route to the crown. Their only high-seed opponent were the No. 2 Tampa Bay Bucs in the divisional round.
If the Vikings do win the NFL title behind O’Connell, it would be only the second time in history a first-year boss took over a team that had a losing record the year before (Vikings were 8-9 in 2021) and won the league championship. It happened previously in 1945, when Adam Walsh led the Cleveland Rams to the title before the team hit the road and settled in Los Angeles the next season.
Minnesota’s passing game behind QB Kirk Cousins has been a key to the team’s success, with Justin Jefferson having 1,277 receiving yards, second-most in the league. RB Dalvin Cook is fifth on the rushing chart with 927 yards. Only one other team (Las Vegas Raiders) has a player ranked in the top five in both categories.
But a concern certainly is the health of star OLT Christian Darrisaw, who has missed the past two games with a concussion. He’s listed as day-to-day.
One key aspect of Minnesota’s game that will need improvement is the defense, where the Vikings rank ahead of only the Detroit Lions in yards yielded with 398.7. That’s especially important since Philly’s offense is ranked second and Dallas’ fifth.
But history indicates teams with subpar defenses can prevail.
In the 2011 season, Green Bay had the league’s worst unit, giving up 411.6 yards an outing. Yet the Packers had a 15-1 record and were the top seed in the NFC before making an early playoff exit.
And in 1964, the Cleveland Browns had the league’s worst-ranked defense and wound up smothering the league’s best offense (Baltimore Colts) in the NFL title game, 27-0.
What are the Vikings’ Odds to Win the NFC Championship?
Minnesota has the fourth-shortest odds to win the conference crown at +700 (BetMGM) and will have a fighting chance if it maintains the No. 2 seed.
But if the Vikings drop to No. 3 or worse, that can mean big trouble with possible games in Philly and Dallas looming. Both teams have 6-1 marks at home this season, just like Minnesota.
The Eagles are listed at +200 (FanDuel), followed by Dallas at +300 (BetMGM), and San Francisco (+500 FanDuel).
However, the Vikings have the league’s third-easiest remaining strength of schedule, according to Tankathon. So, their shot at hanging on to the No 2 seed is favorable.
As for getting the No. 1 seed, it’s probably too much to expect Philadelphia to lose twice (or a loss and a tie) down the stretch after watching them pummel Tennessee 35-10 on Sunday.
Of their final five games, the Vikings will face only one team that currently has a winning record. And that team, the NY Giants, has won only one of its past five outings.
If the Vikings happen to reach the Super Bowl and wind up facing Buffalo, they at least have the confidence they can beat anyone after knocking off the Bills on the road 33-30 in Week 10.
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What are the Vikings’ Odds to Win the NFC North?
With five games left in the regular season, Minnesota has a magic number of 1 over Detroit (5-7) to win the North. Thus, the Vikings’ odds are at -10000 at DraftKings and BetMGM. Only Kansas City in the AFC West is as strong a division favorite.
The Vikings can take care of business in Week 14 when they face the Lions on the road.
What are the Vikings’ Odds to Make the NFL Playoffs?
This option is off the board.
In August, though, early-bird bettors could have taken Minnesota at -105 to reach the postseason.
Also read: 2023 NFL playoffs odds for all teams
What are the Vikings’ Win Total Odds?
The Vikings’ win total is listed at 13.5, with odds of +150 to go over (FanDuel) and -165 to go under (DraftKings).
In the preseason, Minnesota’s estimated win total was nine.
Vikings’ Player Props
NFL MVP: QB Kirk Cousins, WR Justin Jefferson (+10000 DraftKings)
Cousins stands sixth on the betting board (DraftKings) after opening the season with odds of +4000.
Considering he is the league’s 21st-rated passer and is tied for fifth with nine INTs, it is somewhat of a surprise his odds are not much longer.
Jefferson, meanwhile, was at +12500 to open the season and currently has the shortest odds of any non-quarterback across the board. (See below)
Most receiving yards: WR Justin Jefferson (+175 DraftKings)
Jefferson entered last week as the +125 favorite over Tyreek Hill, but the Miami receiver has pulled away to a 102-yard lead and taken over as the betting choice at +150 (FanDuel).
Jefferson is averaging 7.3 catches a game and 106.4 yards.
Most rushing yards: RB Dalvin Cook (+3300 FanDuel)
Cook, who was a +900 choice in this prop in the preseason, stands fifth on the rushing chart with 927 yards, which is 386 behind frontrunner Josh Jacobs of Las Vegas, who has 1,303.
Although Jacobs (+175 PointBet) is the favorite, he has been battling a calf injury.
Cook, meanwhile, has a major scheduling advantage. In his final five games, he’ll be rushing against four teams ranked in the bottom seven in ground yards yielded.
Most sacks: LB Za’Darius Smith (+10000 FanDuel)
Smith is listed in fifth place on the betting board well behind current sack leader Micah Parsons of Dallas (+350 FanDuel).
It’s not like Smith is gaining any ground. Over his past three games, he has not dragged down a quarterback. Parsons has a five-sack lead over Smith.
NFL Coach of the Year: Kevin O’Connell (+350 FanDuel, BetMGM)
O’Connell, a first-time sideline boss who was offensive coordinator for the champion Rams last season, is the second choice on the betting board at +375. He is well behind the favorite, Philly’s Nick Sirianni.
Sirianni, in his second year with the Eagles, has guided his team to the best record in the league and is a -175 choice (FanDuel).
Vikings’ Super Bowl 57 Odds FAQ
The Bills and Chiefs are the two favorites out of the AFC to reach the title game.
The Eagles have slightly shorter odds than the Cowboys out of the NFC to reach the big game.
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