Beyer Speed Figures Favor Four in Belmont Stakes

Kentucky Derby winner Mystik Dan, Preakness winner Seize the Grey, Derby runner-up Sierra Leone, and Mindframe.

These colts share a key trait with the last six winners of the Belmont Stakes: a Beyer Speed Figure of 96 or higher in their last race before attempting the final leg of the Triple Crown.

Of course, all of this comes with an asterisk. For the first time since 1967, the Belmont Stakes won’t be run at Belmont Park in Elmont, N.Y., over a grueling, likely once-in-a-career 1 1/2 miles. Because of extensive renovations underway at the 119-year-old facility, the Belmont will be contested over 1 1/4 miles at bucolic Saratoga Race Course.

Does this slap an asterisk on handicapping data? No, DraftKings director of race and sportsbook Johnny Avello said.

“It doesn’t impact much, to me,” Avello told Gaming Today. “There are a few horses in the field who will need to stay closer, but the first half mile at Belmont is essentially just getting into position without moving too fast anyway. The one thing it does change is the number of turns, but that’s about it. There will be purists out there who put an asterisk next to this race even though we don’t have a Triple Crown contender. I am looking forward to this race just as much as any other Belmont Stakes, and believe bettors are as well.”

Belmont Stakes Draw, Odds:

Seize the Grey8-1
Mystik Dan5-1
Wine Steward15-1
Honor Marie12-1
Sierra Leone9-5

The BSFs are published exclusively by the Daily Racing Form and were provided to Gaming Today.

Belmont Stakes contenders' Beyer Speed FiguresBestMost recent
Seize the Grey100100
Mystik Dan10197
The Wine Steward9291
Honor Marie9682
Sierra Leone9999


Beyer Speed Figure: Race Before Belmont Victory
2023 - Arcangelo Peter Pan Stakes97
2022 - Mo DonegalKentucky Derby96
2021 - Essential QualityKentucky Derby100
2020 - Tiz the LawFlorida Derby96
2019 - Sir WinstonPeter Pan Stakes100
2018 - JustifyKentucky Derby103
2017 - TapwritKentucky Derby88
2016 - CreatorKentucky Derby76
2015 - American PharoahKentucky Derby105
2014 - TonalistPeter Pan Stakes104
2013 - Palace MaliceKentucky Derby84
2012 - Union RagsKentucky Derby90
2011 - Ruler On IceFederico Tesio Stakes83
2010 - DrosselmeyerDwyer Stakes87
2009 - Summer BirdKentucky Derby86


About the Author
Brant James

Brant James

Lead Writer
Brant James is a lead writer who covers the sports betting industry and legislation at Gaming Today. An alum of the Tampa Bay Times,, espnW,, and USA Today, he's covered motorsports and the NHL as beats. He also once made a tail-hook landing on an aircraft carrier with Dale Earnhardt Jr. and rode to the top of Mt. Washington with Travis Pastrana. John Tortorella has yelled at him numerous times.

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